Indian equity
benchmarks ended lower for the second straight session and lost nearly half a
percent on Monday due to profit-taking in Metal, Consumer Durables and TECK
shares amid weak global trends. Markets started the week on a feeble note and
extended losses as the day progressed as traders were anxious with data
released by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) showing that India's foreign
exchange reserves declined to $616.10 billion as on February 16. Some concern
also came as Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (Mospi) stated
that as many as 431 infrastructure projects, each entailing an investment of Rs
150 crore or above, were hit by cost overrun of more than Rs 4.80 trillion in
January 2024. However, markets managed to trim some losses in late afternoon
deals, as traders found some solace with Union Finance Minister Nirmala
Sitharaman's statement that under Prime Minister Narendra Modi's leadership,
India has moved up to the fifth position from the 10th spot in the world in
terms of economy. Some support came with Global Trade Research Initiative
(GTRI) stating that successful conclusion of India's proposed trade agreements
with the UK, Oman and four European nation bloc EFTA will reflect its
commitment to trade liberalisation and economic integration at a time when the
whole world is turning protectionist. But, markets failed to erase all the
losses and ended lower as some pessimism remained among traders with a private
report stating that India's GDP growth likely declined to 6.5 percent in
October-December 2023 from 7.6 percent the previous quarter. Meanwhile, the
statistics ministry will release GDP data for October-December 2023 on February
29. It will also release its second advance growth estimate for 2023-24 as a
whole, as well as the first, second, and third revised estimates of growth for
2022-23, 2021-22, and 2020-21, respectively. Finally, the BSE Sensex fell
352.67 points or 0.48% to 72,790.13 and the CNX Nifty was down by 90.65 points
or 0.41% to 22,122.05.
The US markets closed in red on
Monday, and the major averages turned weak after a slightly positive start, as
investors largely stayed cautious ahead of some key economic data, including a
report on consumption expenditure. The Commerce Department's report on personal
income and spending, which is scheduled to be released on Thursday, includes a
reading on consumer price inflation said to be preferred by the Federal
Reserve. The inflation data could have a notable impact on the outlook for
interest rates, as Fed officials have said they need greater confidence
inflation is slowing before cutting rates. Reports on durable goods orders,
consumer confidence, weekly jobless claims and manufacturing activity are also
likely to attract attention in the coming days. On the economic data front,
data released by the Commerce Department showed new home sales climbed 1.5
percent to an annual rate of 661,000 in January after surging by 7.3 percent to
a revised rate of 651,000 in December. With the increase, new home sales
continued to regain ground after hitting their lowest level in a year in
November. Street had expected new home sales to jump by 2.4 percent to a rate
of 680,000 in January from the 664,000 originally reported for the previous
month. In stock specific development, Berkshire Hathaway lost nearly 2 percent,
despite the group posted an annual profit of $97 billion, its second straight
record annual profit.
Crude oil futures wiped out
initial losses and ended higher on Monday amid concerns about supply after
Houthi militants continued their attacks in the Red Sea route. According to
reports, Houthi missiles narrowly missed a U.S.-flagged tanker over the
weekend. Initial weakness in prices was due to demand worries, especially in
the face of uncertainty over the timing and pace of interest rate cuts in the
U.S. and Europe. Traders await a meeting of the Organization of the Petroleum
Exporting countries and allies early next month. It is expected that the group
will extend production cuts beyond March. Benchmark crude oil futures for April
delivery rose $1.09 or about 1.4% to settle at $77.58 a barrel on the New York
Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude for April delivery was up by $1.01 or 1.25% to
$81.18 per barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian rupee ended higher on
Monday amid inflow of foreign funds. Traders took support with Union Finance
Minister Nirmala Sitharaman's statement that the country has moved up to the
fifth position from the 10th spot in the world in terms of economy, under Prime
Minister Narendra Modi's leadership. She said in the next year and a half, we
will be at the third position, and added that the standard of living of the
citizens is better in a country that has a strong economy and everyone benefits
from it. On the global front, the dollar held fairly steady on Monday ahead of
a macro-packed week that could shed more light on the global rate outlook, with
a U.S. inflation reading taking centre stage. The core personal consumption
expenditures (PCE) price index - the Federal Reserve's preferred measure of
inflation - is due on Thursday, where expectations are for a 0.4% increase on a
monthly basis. Finally, the rupee ended at 82.88 (Provisional), stronger by 3
paise from its previous close of 82.91 on Friday.
The FIIs as per Monday's data
were net buyers in both equity and debt segments. In equity segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 15622.39 crore against gross selling of Rs 14070.54 crore,
while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 2439.77 crore with
gross sales of Rs 1206.53 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 169.15 crore against gross selling of Rs 149.83 crore.
The US markets ended higher on
Monday as focus shifted from Nvidia powered rally to economic data for likely
cues on timing of interest rate cut. Asian markets are trading mostly lower on
Tuesday with slightly warmer-than-expected Japanese inflation putting investors
on guard ahead of price data due in Europe and the U.S. this week. Indian
markets ended lower on Monday amid broad-based profit booking and tracking
weakness in Asian counterparts and European markets. Today, domestic benchmark
indices are likely to get negative start amid slightly weaker moves across
global markets. Foreign fund outflows likely to dent sentiments. Provisional
data from the NSE showed that foreign institutional investors (FIIs) net sold
shares worth Rs 285.15 crore on February 26. There will be some cautiousness as
India expressed serious concerns in a WTO meeting in Abu Dhabi over increase in
the use of trade protectionist measures by certain countries in the name of
environment protection. The remarks assume significance as the country has
earlier flagged issues over the European Union's (EU) decision to impose carbon
tax (a kind of import tax) on sectors such as steel and fertiliser; and
adoption of deforestation regulation by the 27-nation bloc. However, some
respite may come later in the day with a private report stating that India's
real GDP growth for the December quarter is all set to come at a higher-than-anticipated
7 per cent. The official data on quarterly growth will be released on February
29. Besides, Prime Minister Narendra Modi has said the world no longer feels
surprised at India's achievements as it has become a new normal now and they
today realise the benefit of walking alongside the country. There will be some
buzz in hotel industry stocks as a report by credit rating firm ICRA said that
the Indian hotel industry is expected to register a revenue growth of seven to
nine per cent in the next financial year 2024-25. Auto stocks will be in focus
as a CRISIL Ratings report stated the share of sport utility vehicles (SUVs) in
total passenger vehicle (PV) sales in India is expected to grow from 51 per
cent in 2022-23 to 62 per cent in 2024-25. It said PV sales are expected to
grow by 5-7 per cent in 2024-25 due to rise in demand for SUVs. It added in
2023-24, the PV sales growth is expected to be about 6-8 per cent. There will
be some reaction in tobacco industry relates stocks after the Government of
India announced measures to support Flue Cured Virginia (FCV) tobacco growers
in Andhra Pradesh and Karnataka, which were affected by heavy rainfall and
drought, respectively, impacting crop production in the states. For Andhra
Pradesh, the Ministry of Commerce & Industry has approved interest-free
loans for growers, while penalties for excess production have been waived in
Karnataka. In the primary market - Exicom Tele Systems and Platinum Industries
IPOs to open for subscription today in the price band of Rs 135 - Rs 142 and Rs
162 - Rs 171, respectively.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
22,122.05
|
22,064.09
|
22,191.09
|
BSE
Sensex
|
72,790.13
|
72,607.22
|
73,032.66
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Power
Grid
|
310.12
|
287.55
|
282.56
|
292.01
|
Tata
Steel
|
225.70
|
142.60
|
141.25
|
144.95
|
HDFC
Bank
|
117.53
|
1421.95
|
1412.05
|
1433.35
|
BPCL
|
116.32
|
626.00
|
608.86
|
638.36
|
State
Bank of India
|
113.55
|
758.40
|
751.95
|
765.60
|
- Bharti Airtel is planning to
deliver uninterrupted connectivity to metro commuters by deploying high-capacity
nodes 35 meters below river Hooghly.
- L&T's construction arm --
L&T construction has secured an order for its Railways Strategic Business
Group to construct the Jakarta MRT Project (Phase 2A) through L&T's
long-term Japanese partner, Sojitz Corporation.
- Wipro and Nokia have launched
joint private wireless solution to help enterprises scale their digital
transformation.
- The Reserve Bank of India has
imposed a monetary penalty on State Bank of India for violation of various
norms.